We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events. Overconfidence is fed by the illusory certainty of hindsight.

Daniel Kahneman

Daniel Kahneman

Israeli-American psychologist

5 March 1934 —

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Page 14

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Time of publication: May 1, 2012

Length: 180 characters

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